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Analyst: NY21 a 'very reasonable takeover opportunity' for GOP

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Stuart Rothenberg writes in Roll Call today that the north country's congressional seat is a "very reasonable takeover opportunity" for Republicans.

Rep. Bill Owens, D-Plattsburgh, represents a district with a wide Republican enrollment advantage — which only got wider after redistricting.

Matt Doheny and Kellie Greene are vying for the GOP nod on June 26; Mr. Doheny has secured third-party lines already, ensuring his spot on the ballot.

Mr. Rothenberg brings up an interesting caveat about coattails — that it's very reasonable, "assuming presumptive Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney doesn't get buried in the fall."

Read the whole thing here.

Other analysts — namely, Larry Sabato and Dave Wasserman — say that the district is "leaning" toward Mr. Owens.

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